Sustainability and Climate
Climate Change Impact
As the Earth’s climate continues to undergo significant shifts, understanding the impacts of climate change is paramount for informed decision-making and effective adaptation strategies.
Agriculture is intricately linked to climate, relying on predictable weather patterns, suitable temperatures, and adequate water availability for successful crop growth and yields feeding the world. However, climate change is disrupting these conditions, posing significant challenges to global food production.
Vista’s crop growth model results reflected in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) have been included within the report and the figure.
PROMET – Simulation of the Water-Energy-Food-Nexus
Vista’s proprietary, established PROMET model is the basis for climate change impact assesment.
PROMET simulates crop growth, yield and all relevant land surface processes under different agri-cultural management alternatives or climate scenarios. It allowes the management of crop production, energy balance, water-, carbon- and nitrogen cycles.
The model is physically based and therefore able to also model crop growth in extremes such as drought years.
Simulation of climate change impact on agricultural production – from field to globe
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What happens between measurements in space and time?
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How to make predictions?
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How to optimize farm management?
Measurements are important! But ...
Simulation provides the answer – available for the following crop types and can be extended on request
- barley (hordeum vulgare)
- maize (zea mays)
- maize silage (zea mays)
- potatoe (solanum tuberosum)
- rapeseed (brassica napus)
- soy (glycine maximum)
- sugar beet (beta vulgaris)
- sunflower (helianthus annus)
- wheat (triticum aestivum)
Site assessment of climate change impact on agricultural production for improved investment
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Cereal yields will increase slightly. Barley will benefit the most.
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Grain maize will suffer the most in the scenario with very high CO2 emissions, with 16% yield losses. Varietal adjustments could compensate for this.
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Irrigation will not play a role in this site nor allow mitigation climate change impact.
Let us talk about how Vista’s assessments can help you manage and mitigate climate change impact!
